Prop trend visualizer
Paste a player's last 20 game-by-game stat values for any prop (points, rebounds, assists, threes, passing yards, etc.). We compute L5, L10, and L20 hit rate against the current line plus an implied fair-line read.
Parsed: 20 games
L5 (5 games)
60%
3/5 over 28.5
Avg: 28.60
vs line: +0.10
vs line: +0.10
L10 (10 games)
50%
5/10 over 28.5
Avg: 27.90
vs line: -0.60
vs line: -0.60
L20 (20 games)
50%
10/20 over 28.5
Avg: 28.00
vs line: -0.50
vs line: -0.50
Read for Jayson Tatum Points o28.5
Coin-flip range (L10)
Hit rate within 45-55%. Without an external edge (matchup, pace, injury), the prop is at fair.
Trend (L5 vs L20 hit rate): rising (+10.0 pts)
Implied fair line (L10 average): 27.90
Implied fair line (L10 average): 27.90
How to read this
L5 hit rate vs L20 hit rate is the trend signal. A 70% L5 against a 50% L20 is a real heater (usage shift, role change, matchup run). A 50% L5 against a 70% L20 is a player coming off a hot stretch and reverting. Books usually re-line within 1 to 2 games when L5 diverges from L10 by more than 20 points, so trend windows close fast.
The implied fair line (L10 average) is a back-of-envelope reference, not a model output. Cross-reference our /picks SHAP read for matchup-adjusted probabilities and our no-vig calculator for pricing.
No-vig calculator · CLV calculator · Glossary
L5 hit rate vs L20 hit rate is the trend signal. A 70% L5 against a 50% L20 is a real heater (usage shift, role change, matchup run). A 50% L5 against a 70% L20 is a player coming off a hot stretch and reverting. Books usually re-line within 1 to 2 games when L5 diverges from L10 by more than 20 points, so trend windows close fast.
The implied fair line (L10 average) is a back-of-envelope reference, not a model output. Cross-reference our /picks SHAP read for matchup-adjusted probabilities and our no-vig calculator for pricing.
No-vig calculator · CLV calculator · Glossary
21+ only. Trend stats are pattern indicators, not predictions. Past hit rate does not guarantee future outcomes. Bet within your unit plan. Not financial advice. 1-800-GAMBLER or text 800GAM to 53342.