/ picks / NCAAB
College Basketball research
no picks published yet.
Regular Nov-Mar, Tournament Mar-Apr
NCAAB is the highest-volume sports market - many games means many soft lines, especially mid-majors and tournament play.
not publishing · NCAAB →
See exactly what is and is not live for NCAAB.
/ market context
Where NCAAB soft numbers tend to appear
SPREADMid-major home dogsMid-major home dogs getting 5+ historically cover around the coin-flip mark. Limited data and sharp lookahead make our heuristic edge larger here than in major-conference play.
market #1
TOTALPace-adjusted totalsKenpom-adjusted tempo vs Vegas totals - we flag when the book is 3+ possessions off true pace projection.
market #2
PROPSPoints + assists + reboundsElite-program PG PRA props most mispriced. Usage-rate + pace + opposing defense combo model.
market #3
TOURNAMENTMarch Madness first-round12-5 upsets hit 35% historically. we flag which 12 seed has the tools.
market #4
/ best sportsbooks for ncaab
FanDuel for spread speed, DraftKings for player props on elite programs, Circa for respected action.
Full sportsbook comparison →/ get picks in discord
No NCAAB picks are published, and none are counted in the record.
The model has never posted a NCAAB pick. When it does, every row is hash-locked at fire time and graded on the same public record as everything else.
Free daily pick
Free NCAAB pick of the day
21+ entertainment only. This is the model's top-confidence play, not a guarantee. Not financial advice.