6-Leg Parlay (6 legs) +1129
MLB+WNBA · 6 legs
+1129risk0.05u→win0.56u
LOSS
Legs · 6
- +22.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #7 vs this prop (+4.8% vs league avg over 86 games)
- +29.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #11 vs this prop (+7.7% vs league avg over 227 games)
- +35.9pt EV vs implied
- 100.0% over last 15 games
- +14.2pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #29 vs this prop (-14.9% vs league avg over 257 games)
- +18.9pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #26 vs this prop (-11.8% vs league avg over 219 games)
- +18.2pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #19 vs this prop (-7.5% vs league avg over 235 games)
Game context
Line movement
+1129+1248+1.19 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
44.4%
4-5-7
ROI
+69.64%
+3.87u
CLV avg
+1.65%
n=12
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (5)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+1129
12.2900
Closing
+1248
13.4800
Delta
-8.83%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1692
UUID2725fb82-3ff8-4248-9ab0-b9f97d3ee4fa
Surfaceparlay-lotto-6
Posted2026-07-31 20:33 UTC
Graded2026-08-05 14:28 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash942e8851ac168acf61ae2309630627137a0d6c6dc2d1572626e664630539196b
Closing line+1248 captured 2026-08-01 00:44 UTC
CLV delta-8.83%
Closing hashe08774e84768962f4b1af52ae794cf3ed971dede2cd29a06e128d89ddffd64c1
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public14 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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