3-Leg Parlay (3 legs) +291
MLB+WNBA · 3 legs
+291risk0.5u→win1.46uPUSH
Legs · 3
- +15.8pt EV vs implied
- 80.0% over last 15 games
- View receipt →BETMGM
- +35.8pt EV vs implied
- 100.0% over last 15 games
- +17.3pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #20 vs this prop (-5.5% vs league avg over 157 games)
Game context
Line movement
+291+260-0.31 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
14.3%
2-12-9
ROI
-2.73%
-0.1u
CLV avg
-1.28%
n=15
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (5)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+291
3.9100
Closing
+260
3.6000
Delta
+8.61%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1776
UUID5847b7e4-20b7-4c9b-9062-378634871cda
Surfaceparlay-3-leg
Posted2026-08-13 15:30 UTC
Graded2026-08-15 08:02 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashcdf86329f8eacadf6327ad786efecfe8e1ca35ac4507a02a6d8d6de1ce5727cc
Closing line+260 captured 2026-08-14 00:36 UTC
CLV delta+8.61%
Closing hashba4b86fefa5fd4d1a64ed8a89eab382f245e84283a915626522d080c2470683b
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger96.1% hashed981 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close58.3% closed981 settled picks · 58.3% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public0 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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