2-Leg Parlay (2 legs) +150
MLB · 2 legs
+150risk1u→win1.5uPUSH
Legs · 2
- +21.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #21 vs this prop (-7.4% vs league avg over 186 games)
- +23.4pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #28 vs this prop (-17.9% vs league avg over 189 games)
Game context
Line movement
+150+148-0.02 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
44.4%
4-5-7
ROI
+69.64%
+3.87u
CLV avg
+1.65%
n=12
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+150
2.5000
Closing
+148
2.4800
Delta
+0.81%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1794
UUID87fb3dd3-bdf7-4969-8369-69cb67fb5fa8
Surfaceparlay-2-leg
Posted2026-08-16 14:36 UTC
Graded2026-08-18 00:00 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash712cb2190bb76589dc103d95c37796b2145cdfdf80423fdf60a87294334e51e1
Closing line+148 captured 2026-08-16 18:54 UTC
CLV delta+0.81%
Closing hashaf3ee15c9a54ad91ebf92b209414d5ac25bd8d439517a8f53cb94f7b2d25250a
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public14 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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