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MLB AI Picks
with SHAP explainability

Regular Apr-Sep, Postseason Oct

MLB is about pitcher props and unders. Starting pitcher matchup drives every game's total within 0.5 runs.

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TOTAL

Pitcher-driven unders

Two top-20-K-rate starters vs mid-tier offenses hit the under 61% over 5 seasons. AI flags this matchup nightly.

PROPS (K)

Strikeout props vs swing rate

Model pairs starting pitcher K/9 with opposing lineup contact rate. Highest-volume daily prop market in NuroBets.

NRFI

No Runs First Inning

NRFI props reprice heavily when lineups drop. AI tracks lineup posts and flags live NRFI value within the first 30 min after lineups.

RUN LINE

Run-line value on chalk

Heavy favorites at -1.5 run line beat the implied probability 54% vs the straight ML when paired with ace starter.

BEST SPORTSBOOKS FOR MLB

DraftKings for pitcher Ks props, FanDuel for run-line, Pinnacle for reduced juice on totals.

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