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MLB model picks today
Every MLB pick the autonomous model published today. Player props, alt-line plays, sharp-of-the-day. Same rows that fired on Discord. Refresh for live state.
MLB · TOP-CONFIDENCE PLAY · TODAYpending
🎟️ LOTTO (5 legs) +957 · parlay+957
LOTTO · MLB · 5 legs · confidence 4
MLB · CURRENT STREAKLosses in a row2Best win streak (30d)9
MLB · LAST 30 DAYSPicks132Wins64Losses58Hit rate52.5%
MLB · LAST 7 DAYSPicks46Props39Wins19Losses17Hit rate52.8%
MLB · BIGGEST DOG WINS · LAST 30 DAYS
- 2-Leg Parlay (2 legs) +150MLB · 2 legs+150
- Jhonny Pereda Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50Jhonny Pereda+-164
- Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50Salvador Perez+-164
- Tyler Soderstrom Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50Tyler Soderstrom+-164
- Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50Travis Bazzana+-164
- Over 7.5 · Alt Total
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Friendly alt over at 58.3% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, over rung lower-juice (58.3% vs 63.6%).-140loss - Detroit Tigers -1 · Alt Spread
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Friendly alt spread at 61.1% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Detroit Tigers → home spread.-157push - 🎟️ LOTTO (5 legs) +957 · parlay
LOTTO · MLB · 5 legs+957pending - Lotto Parlay (5 legs) +946 · parlay
MLB · 5 legs+946pending - Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners · Josh Naylor
Empirical 70.4% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +8.1pt EV.-165pending - Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Taylor Ward
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.7pt EV.-165pending - Victor Caratini Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Minnesota Twins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Victor Caratini
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.7pt EV.-165pending - Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics · Henry Bolte
Empirical 71.5% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +8.5pt EV.-170pending - Kyle Freeland Over 3.5 Strikeouts @ 3.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies · Kyle Freeland
Empirical 79.6% over last 11 games vs 63.0% implied → +12.2pt EV.-170pending - Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts @ 3.50 · Alt PlayerProp
St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals · Seth Lugo
Empirical 73.5% over last 12 games vs 63.6% implied → +7.9pt EV.-175pending - Samad Taylor Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers · Samad Taylor
Empirical 91.3% over last 10 games vs 62.3% implied → +19.4pt EV.-165pending - Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves · Drake Baldwin
Empirical 82.0% over last 5 games vs 62.1% implied → +6.6pt EV.-164loss - CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Washington Nationals @ Tampa Bay Rays · CJ Abrams
Empirical 71.5% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +7.9pt EV.-175win - Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins · Bryce Eldridge
Empirical 90.1% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +27.1pt EV.-170loss - Spencer Steer Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees · Spencer Steer
Empirical 99.9% over last 7 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.6pt EV.-165loss
JSON: /api/picks/system-today?sport=mlb · /api/picks/system-week?sport=mlb · All sports: /picks/system
