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NBA model picks today
Every NBA pick the autonomous model published today. Player props, alt-line plays, sharp-of-the-day. Same rows that fired on Discord. Refresh for live state.
No NBA picks published today. Showing the most-recent published picks below.
Most recent NBA (last 30)
- Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points @ 15.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Devin Vassell
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +20.6pt EV.-174win - OG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points @ 16.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · OG Anunoby
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +25.3pt EV.-175loss - Devin Vassell Under 14.5 Points @ 14.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Devin Vassell
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +27.1pt EV.-174win - Stephon Castle Under 5.5 Rebounds @ 5.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Stephon Castle
Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 62.4% implied → +15.0pt EV.-166loss - Victor Wembanyama Under 29.5 Points @ 29.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Victor Wembanyama
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +20.4pt EV.-174win - Devin Vassell Under 14.5 Points @ 14.50 · Alt PlayerProp
San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Devin Vassell
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +26.7pt EV.-178win - OG Anunoby Over 14.5 Points @ 14.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · OG Anunoby
Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +9.0pt EV.-180win - Chet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp
San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Chet Holmgren
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +22.1pt EV.-175loss - Isaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 Rebounds @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Isaiah Hartenstein
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +22.9pt EV.-175loss - Josh Hart Over 3.5 Assists @ 3.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Josh Hart
Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 63.2% implied → +10.1pt EV.-172win - Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points @ 15.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Devin Vassell
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +26.6pt EV.-180win - Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points @ 15.50 · Alt PlayerProp
San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Devin Vassell
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +26.9pt EV.-178win - OG Anunoby Over 13.5 Points @ 13.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers · OG Anunoby
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +26.6pt EV.-180win - OG Anunoby Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 4.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers · OG Anunoby
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +19.2pt EV.-175win - Keldon Johnson Over 0.5 Assists @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Keldon Johnson
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.1% implied → +17.9pt EV.-164loss - Isaiah Hartenstein Over 6.5 Rebounds @ 6.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Isaiah Hartenstein
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +24.4pt EV.-165win - OG Anunoby Over 13.5 Points @ 13.50 · Alt PlayerProp
New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers · OG Anunoby
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.7pt EV.-165win - Chet Holmgren Over 12.5 Points @ 12.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Chet Holmgren
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +30.3pt EV.-175win - De'Aaron Fox Over 2.5 Rebounds @ 2.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · De'Aaron Fox
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.1% implied → +16.9pt EV.-171win - OG Anunoby Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 4.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks · OG Anunoby
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.5% implied → +22.1pt EV.-167loss - Mitchell Robinson Under 7.5 Rebounds @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp
Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks · Mitchell Robinson
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 59.3% implied → +30.9pt EV.-146win - Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 4.50 · Alt PlayerProp
San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Isaiah Hartenstein
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 59.2% implied → +41.8pt EV.-145win - Under 213.5 · Alt Total
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Friendly alt under at 70.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 205.5 ≤ 215 (low-scoring band) → under.-235loss - Detroit Pistons +2.5 · Alt Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Friendly alt spread at 70.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Detroit Pistons → home spread.-240loss - Detroit Pistons ML · Moneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)-180loss - Under 227 · Alt Total
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Friendly alt under at 70.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, under rung lower-juice (70.6% vs 71.0%).-240loss - San Antonio Spurs -2 · Alt Spread
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Friendly alt spread at 70.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite San Antonio Spurs → away spread.-235win - San Antonio Spurs ML · Moneyline
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)-225win - Under 218.5 · Alt Total
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Friendly alt under at 71.4% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 209.5 ≤ 215 (low-scoring band) → under.-250win - Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 · Alt Spread
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Friendly alt spread at 72.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Cleveland Cavaliers → home spread.-260loss
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