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NBA model picks today

Every NBA pick the autonomous model published today. Player props, alt-line plays, sharp-of-the-day. Same rows that fired on Discord. Refresh for live state.

Most recent NBA (last 30)

• Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points @ 15.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Devin Vassell
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +20.6pt EV.-174win
• OG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points @ 16.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · OG Anunoby
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +25.3pt EV.-175loss
• Devin Vassell Under 14.5 Points @ 14.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Devin Vassell
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +27.1pt EV.-174win
• Stephon Castle Under 5.5 Rebounds @ 5.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Stephon Castle
  Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 62.4% implied → +15.0pt EV.-166loss
• Victor Wembanyama Under 29.5 Points @ 29.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · Victor Wembanyama
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +20.4pt EV.-174win
• Devin Vassell Under 14.5 Points @ 14.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Devin Vassell
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +26.7pt EV.-178win
• OG Anunoby Over 14.5 Points @ 14.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs · OG Anunoby
  Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +9.0pt EV.-180win
• Chet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Chet Holmgren
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +22.1pt EV.-175loss
• Isaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 Rebounds @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Isaiah Hartenstein
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +22.9pt EV.-175loss
• Josh Hart Over 3.5 Assists @ 3.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Josh Hart
  Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 63.2% implied → +10.1pt EV.-172win
• Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points @ 15.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Devin Vassell
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +26.6pt EV.-180win
• Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points @ 15.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Devin Vassell
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +26.9pt EV.-178win
• OG Anunoby Over 13.5 Points @ 13.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers · OG Anunoby
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +26.6pt EV.-180win
• OG Anunoby Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 4.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers · OG Anunoby
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +19.2pt EV.-175win
• Keldon Johnson Over 0.5 Assists @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Keldon Johnson
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.1% implied → +17.9pt EV.-164loss
• Isaiah Hartenstein Over 6.5 Rebounds @ 6.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Isaiah Hartenstein
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +24.4pt EV.-165win
• OG Anunoby Over 13.5 Points @ 13.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers · OG Anunoby
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.7pt EV.-165win
• Chet Holmgren Over 12.5 Points @ 12.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · Chet Holmgren
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +30.3pt EV.-175win
• De'Aaron Fox Over 2.5 Rebounds @ 2.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs · De'Aaron Fox
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.1% implied → +16.9pt EV.-171win
• OG Anunoby Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 4.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks · OG Anunoby
  Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.5% implied → +22.1pt EV.-167loss
• Mitchell Robinson Under 7.5 Rebounds @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks · Mitchell Robinson
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 59.3% implied → +30.9pt EV.-146win
• Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 4.50 · Alt PlayerProp
  San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder · Isaiah Hartenstein
  Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 59.2% implied → +41.8pt EV.-145win
• Under 213.5 · Alt Total
  Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
  Friendly alt under at 70.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 205.5 ≤ 215 (low-scoring band) → under.-235loss
• Detroit Pistons +2.5 · Alt Spread
  Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
  Friendly alt spread at 70.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Detroit Pistons → home spread.-240loss
• Detroit Pistons ML · Moneyline
  Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
  Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)-180loss
• Under 227 · Alt Total
  San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
  Friendly alt under at 70.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, under rung lower-juice (70.6% vs 71.0%).-240loss
• San Antonio Spurs -2 · Alt Spread
  San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
  Friendly alt spread at 70.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite San Antonio Spurs → away spread.-235win
• San Antonio Spurs ML · Moneyline
  San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
  Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)-225win
• Under 218.5 · Alt Total
  Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
  Friendly alt under at 71.4% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 209.5 ≤ 215 (low-scoring band) → under.-250win
• Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 · Alt Spread
  Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
  Friendly alt spread at 72.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Cleveland Cavaliers → home spread.-260loss

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