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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-03🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 73afcb3c

Washington Nationals ML

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals

-156risk1u→win0.64u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-156

Closing

-150

CLV

-1.54%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=16 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Pittsburgh Pirates5
Washington Nationals9
Winner: Washington Nationals · 2026-07-03
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
—
ROI
—
CLV avg
—
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-156
1.6410
Closing
-150
1.6667
Delta
-1.54%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1331
UUID09a6f5a4-430b-4588-9d38-cc94b1123257
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-03 21:30 UTC
Graded2026-07-04 01:43 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822714:2026-07-03T22:45:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash73afcb3c133851c24d4f5fc4929ae419505bf4eec028e63dca820542066db134
Closing line-150 captured 2026-07-03 22:59 UTC
CLV delta-1.54%
Closing hash89bd44fdfbeee002b7d45577e071cdbaaa33f0202450f7cf3ef20c70133142e3

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.9% closed
    1,289 settled picks · 63.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public20 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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