2-Leg Parlay (2 legs) +144
MLB · 2 legs
+144risk1u→win1.44u
LOSS
Legs · 2
- +20.5pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #3 vs this prop (+34.9% vs league avg over 294 games)
- +35.1pt EV vs implied
- 100.0% over last 15 games
Game context
Line movement
+144+142-0.02 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
12
Settled
12
Hit rate
25.0%
3-9
ROI
-14.75%
-1.04u
CLV avg
-0.18%
n=9
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (12 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+144
2.4400
Closing
+142
2.4200
Delta
+0.83%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#10825
UUIDbd5415f1-830f-481d-9d4e-126c02212794
Surfaceparlay-2-leg
Posted2026-09-16 21:08 UTC
Graded2026-09-17 04:31 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd1d41b0887a69690c7c541854e460217493b728da607e99f8530ed8b724129ea
Closing line+142 captured 2026-09-17 06:07 UTC
CLV delta+0.83%
Closing hash002baa7ed9337a0f8ce689ba24325ef4427eae7bea252ff2a08da69d50a81141
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger78.4% hashed1,370 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close65.6% closed1,368 settled picks · 65.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public2 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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