nhlMoneyline.2026-04-29
Tampa Bay Lightning ML
Montreal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time (ESPN Draft Kings)
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTNHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-162
1.6173
Closing
-155
1.6452
Delta
-1.69%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#121
UUID125c0946-4b71-487e-8c12-7a4a119feeaa
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-04-29 22:30 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 01:50 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-04-29T23:00:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0fefa144eba0858aaceed86b931818ed3e746cd68fbfa00d7333383a5b65d253
Closing line-155 captured 2026-04-29 23:01 UTC
CLV delta-1.69%
Closing hash32d3da3e24609572301d3c9d85387c1f17cecd539d37972e04a675709bb204f5
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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