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nhlMoneyline.2026-04-29◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 0fefa144

Tampa Bay Lightning ML

Montreal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning

-162risk1u→win0.62u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-162

Closing

-155

CLV

-1.69%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time (ESPN Draft Kings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Montreal Canadiens3
Tampa Bay Lightning2
Winner: Montreal Canadiens · 2026-04-29
Related Picks (7)

CLV math

Posted
-162
1.6173
Closing
-155
1.6452
Delta
-1.69%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#121
UUID125c0946-4b71-487e-8c12-7a4a119feeaa
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-04-29 22:30 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 01:50 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-04-29T23:00:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0fefa144eba0858aaceed86b931818ed3e746cd68fbfa00d7333383a5b65d253
Closing line-155 captured 2026-04-29 23:01 UTC
CLV delta-1.69%
Closing hash32d3da3e24609572301d3c9d85387c1f17cecd539d37972e04a675709bb204f5

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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