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mlbMoneyline.2026-06-30🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 5ef2db89

Baltimore Orioles ML

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

-148risk1u→win0.68u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-148

Closing

-149

CLV

+0.27%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time (ESPN DraftKings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=16 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox9
Baltimore Orioles3
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-06-30
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-148
1.6757
Closing
-149
1.6711
Delta
+0.27%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1327
UUID92cfd771-ee05-4902-98bd-9a18e5bb068c
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-30 21:20 UTC
Graded2026-07-01 01:27 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824819:2026-06-30T22:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5ef2db89b2b685ce4b8f9d24362965dbf043068ff5744f72f3f82f3aedd3efdb
Closing line-149 captured 2026-06-30 22:42 UTC
CLV delta+0.27%
Closing hashb78c799818a67c8e8783b152fb2d9bcc3ee702996d832a6a3d07f450e0c12ba8

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger85.0% hashed
    1,187 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.8% closed
    1,179 settled picks · 62.8% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public8 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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