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mmaMMA Prop.2026-07-18🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0

du Plessis vs Usman: Fight Goes The Distance — Yes

du Plessis vs Usman

-115risk1u→win0.87uVOID

Stake

1u

Odds

-115

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Both nearly unfinishable — Usman finished once in 25 fights, du Plessis never in the UFC; DDP's last 3 all went 25 min, Usman on 5 straight decisions. Fair ~-160.

Signal

Best price on the durability thesis: Bovada Yes -115.

Context

5-round main event; two of the most durable MW-sized fighters alive.

Risk

Small chance of a late finish (round 4-5 fade). Med-high confidence.

Game context

Context signals

  • Usman finished 1x in 25 fights; DDP never in UFC
  • DDP last 3 all 25min; Usman 5 straight decisions
Related Picks (11)

Audit trail

Pick ID#1469
UUID98e2ac84-ad49-436d-a1d6-ccd8424d2244
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-18 20:31 UTC
Graded2026-07-26 20:32 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

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  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.9% closed
    1,119 settled picks · 61.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public17 pending
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