Argentina vs Spain
Confirmed +200 at DK / BetMGM / FanDuel. Kalshi grid puts the 90' draw ~31.5% and 5 of the last 8 finals were level after 90'. Two elite defenses + biggest-stage risk aversion. Chosen book: DraftKings.
+200 at DraftKings & BetMGM (Kalshi +203).
3-way = 90 minutes only; cashes even if settled in extra time.
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Slightly -EV vs no-vig (~+218 fair) but the best draw number; Spain pulling away is the risk.