soccerTotal Shots.2026-07-19💎Elite◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0
Mikel Oyarzabal Over 2.5 Total Shots +125
Argentina vs Spain
+125risk0.5u→win0.63uVOID
Edge
Averaging 5.08 shots/90 at this WC; even a 35% haircut leaves ~3.3 expected shots, so 3+ is ~58% vs +125 (44.4% implied). The best pick on the board - a pure volume bet that doesn't need a goal. Chosen book: FanDuel.
Signal
+125 confirmed (OddsShark, FanDuel-sourced).
Context
Independent of the scoreline; survives a low-scoring final.
Risk
Correlated with his ATGS; a total bunker game hurts both.
Game context
Context signals
- 5.08 shots/90 this WC
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#1522
UUIDf00b89fe-d59c-421f-83dd-7d821448958f
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-19 03:54 UTC
Graded2026-07-26 20:32 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public14 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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