mlbMoneyline.2026-04-30
New York Mets ML
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-190
1.5263
Closing
-169
1.5917
Delta
-4.11%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#155
UUIDa34425c8-413b-4540-9d6f-67740e300d91
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-30 16:41 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 17:12 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823634:2026-04-30T17:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash3a35c1ee6433a8524bd542eacbb4ad1ad46f19dbab03004e525d4b4fbada46d2
Closing line-169 captured 2026-04-30 17:11 UTC
CLV delta-4.11%
Closing hash25fada947c7399d6b08a092b72ef1c1b5079af892652f754d5f0080abe635f08
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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