Minnesota Twins ML
Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Toronto Blue Jays7
Minnesota Twins3
Winner: Toronto Blue Jays · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-110
1.9091
Closing
-110
1.9091
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#204
UUID879272f2-8212-4d11-88dc-25bf7fa6fe45
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-01 23:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 02:53 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash57bd232adf60924f6bd52a30e030c250b09af045011615625b02940e45bcf18d
Closing line-110 captured 2026-05-02 00:11 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hashbeae503bf72cbe70207d16481daf53f984717bc46224921bb5ecddc40e885f6b
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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