Toronto Blue Jays ML
Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Toronto Blue Jays11
Minnesota Twins4
Winner: Toronto Blue Jays · 2026-05-02
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-138
1.7246
Closing
-110
1.9091
Delta
-9.66%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#226
UUID63076c58-2678-455e-a383-ff887f0d5859
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 17:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:06 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823715:2026-05-02T18:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash834045b686d753b2f77e8972d7cd93f3f304ca6f34e616656cd6e5b20222b484
Closing line-110 captured 2026-05-02 18:12 UTC
CLV delta-9.66%
Closing hash99c0874b194fb987feedad381f6cc56b5de8061731320157c2f685b54786762e
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,244 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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