Pittsburgh Pirates ML
Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Cincinnati Reds7
Pittsburgh Pirates17
Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates · 2026-05-02
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-134
1.7463
Closing
-141
1.7092
Delta
+2.17%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#232
UUID37dc7251-5603-4fa2-9c6b-4a6c5f16285f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 18:50 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:06 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823388:2026-05-02T20:05:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash878abce6388ca0f260a4a8f3499136ec6c3a5f8940eb1e66a25e4e5eb2fe223a
Closing line-141 captured 2026-05-02 20:07 UTC
CLV delta+2.17%
Closing hashbaa00c90f80c7fa7c4d1675397cc21fcc0356463415ba9a024223eb225676b3a
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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