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mlbPlayerProp.2026-05-03◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 8007e091

Aaron Civale Over 3.5 Strikeouts

Cleveland Guardians @ Athletics

-160risk1uwin0.63u
LOSS

Stake

1u

Odds

-160

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Over heuristic on Strikeouts (fanduel)

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop surface, over-side default (model fallback)

Risk

Heuristic v0 (model fallback: no historical baseline for this player). Player-prop overs price near 50/50; this is NOT a model edge call. Track CLV.

Related Picks (12)

Audit trail

Pick ID#296
UUID6426ce5e-50e5-444b-94a0-6857d2f1aff0
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 18:46 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 20:07 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8007e0917800d648d623ba325a882b6cd4d19d82606bf210acea18310a7e183c

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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