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ufcMoneyline.2026-06-26🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 1235db6a

Kongthoranee Sor Sommai ML

Nong-O Hama @ Kongthoranee Sor Sommai

-145risk1uwin0.69uVOID

Stake

1u

Odds

-145

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betonlineag)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Kongthoranee Sor Sommai priced at **59.2% implied** to win - book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
ROI
CLV avg
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (6)

Audit trail

Pick ID#1324
UUID65a1ede6-d790-45ac-babf-7b6afac7688d
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-06-26 09:42 UTC
Graded2026-07-26 20:32 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1235db6a6fafb48b4dca6390f0b61f68346a1f2062d0055cfa3600adfe3e9c98

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.9% closed
    1,289 settled picks · 63.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public20 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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