๐๏ธ LOTTO (5 legs) +750
LOTTO ยท MLB ยท 5 legs
+750risk0.05uโwin0.38u
LOSS
Why this lotto
LaneLotto
Legs5
Combined+750
Model haircut-30%
EV floorbypassed
Heads up. Long-odds FUN play ยท -EV by design ยท bet small (0.05u), never chase. Our graded +EV record is separate.
Legs ยท 5
- +11.4pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #29 vs this prop (-14.4% vs league avg over 209 games)
- +19.1pt EV vs implied
- 86.7% over last 15 games
- +11.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #22 vs this prop (-9.0% vs league avg over 225 games)
- +12.9pt EV vs implied
- 86.7% over last 15 games
- +12.3pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #4 vs this prop (+15.6% vs league avg over 197 games)
Context
(ref: 17b1e8)
Game context
Line movement
+750+738-0.12 decModel Record (30d)
lotto-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
1
Hit rate
โ
ROI
0.00%
+0u
CLV avg
+3.61%
n=1
Last 18 settled ยท cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (1 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate โ treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+750
8.5000
Closing
+738
8.3800
Delta
+1.43%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1585
UUID6a94fc72-31a1-4467-a9a9-5aae580c75c3
Surfacelotto-v1-5
Posted2026-07-27 21:02 UTC
Graded2026-07-28 03:02 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashadbf06804908d8f3ecb0af0e6c00568cbd58db0a505bd8c652a3b97061f57cc0
Closing line+738 captured 2026-07-28 00:23 UTC
CLV delta+1.43%
Closing hash64659be858b02d5fe5c33a215286052b496d5f4ccaed44814e2e1b280e832150
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,126 settled picks ยท 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes โ all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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