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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-04🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 619e4c59

Pittsburgh Pirates ML

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals

-163risk1u→win0.61u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-163

Closing

-162

CLV

-0.23%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=16 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Pittsburgh Pirates7
Washington Nationals1
Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates · 2026-07-04
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
—
ROI
—
CLV avg
—
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-163
1.6135
Closing
-162
1.6173
Delta
-0.23%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1332
UUID6b9bc010-2092-4f74-851a-a63302abbf40
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-04 13:50 UTC
Graded2026-07-04 18:02 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822716:2026-07-04T15:05:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash619e4c591d8969c2f832c5550a3f9917a6ff6a1e624b9b3f602073a8635908d0
Closing line-162 captured 2026-07-04 15:05 UTC
CLV delta-0.23%
Closing hash29aebacb42b38719d2c41a4c6c6c4cf767053efe45ee9d523c2ebaa70cbdb222

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.9% closed
    1,289 settled picks · 63.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public20 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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