New York Mets ML
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Washington Nationals0
New York Mets8
Winner: New York Mets · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-188
1.5319
Closing
-181
1.5525
Delta
-1.33%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#70
UUID04c3b189-8902-476d-8e50-3ba59278f65a
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-28 22:41 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 01:33 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823636:2026-04-28T23:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc795f53c68c7067db19ca34d5cb10f9b4fc520014b2ab6937fc71ccc07aae764
Closing line-181 captured 2026-04-28 23:12 UTC
CLV delta-1.33%
Closing hashd33118352a90c6396279f08641161914069d4e04d2adac900b4c5e0bc4265258
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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