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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-16◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 53ac4115

Altin Zenuni ML

Altin Zenuni @ Dawid Jarowienko

-350risk1uwin0.29u
WIN

Stake

1u

Odds

-350

Closing

-350

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betonlineag)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: c699db)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Altin Zenuni priced at **77.8% implied** to win - book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.

Line movement

-350-3500.00 dec
Related Picks (6)

CLV math

Posted
-350
1.2857
Closing
-350
1.2857
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#783
UUID04a8f233-b942-4525-a4f9-26c01295516e
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-16 14:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-22 15:27 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash53ac4115f1d7adcc168bed65850d9c8f65c07276d982aa67cd8783af3f500d3e
Closing line-350 captured 2026-05-16 15:01 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hasha51a408144a20f36d95c0cec6e600cac43b00f6c5995d8528a56044774ddd297

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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