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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-16🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 9844c67b

Michael Gomez Jr ML

Lee McGregor @ Michael Gomez Jr

-165risk1u→win0.61u
WIN

Stake

1u

Odds

-165

Closing

-200

CLV

+7.07%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Michael Gomez Jr priced at **62.3% implied** to win - book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ DRAFTKINGS -165 ➋ FANDUEL -186

Line movement

-165-200-0.11 dec
Related Picks (9)

CLV math

Posted
-165
1.6061
Closing
-200
1.5000
Delta
+7.07%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#795
UUID7a43d94c-29d2-4e27-961e-82ad28c5e38b
Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING
Posted2026-05-16 19:25 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 01:08 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9844c67b9de81fc8e9fcbd422cbfb123ec830291a78422e00cf81f2221563448
Closing line-200 captured 2026-05-16 19:56 UTC
CLV delta+7.07%
Closing hashf4fab10f63aa4f111ad53c693fdd3572d6870a598f08072f8fdba1a174453b53

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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