/ Daily Fact-Check

2026-08-18 (4-1-2P)

Every pick we fired for games on this ET calendar day. Each card links straight to ESPN's box score so you can confirm the final score yourself. Settled by espn-grader within ~5 minutes of the game ending; no manual override.

Crowned · Pick of the DayMLB · ANNOUNCED 11:02 AM ET

Phillies ML -225

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

Why crowned: the single highest-conviction moneyline on today's board — the market prices Phillies at a 69.2% implied win probability at -225, the best edge-to-price on the slate when it was crowned.

Tipoff: Tue, Aug 18, 6:40 PMWin prob: 69.2%Open the full slate →

All (7)CROSS-SPORT (MLB + WNBA) (1)MLB (3)WNBA (3)

Picks

7

Settled

5

0 pending

Wins

4

Losses

1

Hit %

80.0%

FREE

MLBPUSH

MLB

PARLAY

MLB High-Floor (10 legs) +174

+174

MLB Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits-285

MLB Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Hits-234

MLB Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Hits-237

MLB Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Nolan Schanuel Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Willi Castro Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits-275

0.50uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Brandon Marsh

MAR vs PHI

ALT LINE

Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Total Bases

1 / 1.5 TB✓

-165

0.12uView →

CLOSE -185CLV +4.25%Verify on ESPN →

FREECROSS-SPORT (MLB + WNBA)PUSH

MLB + WNBA

PARLAY

Lotto (5 legs) +905

+905

WNBA Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists-170

WNBA Azura Stevens Over 5.5 Rebounds-178

WNBA Ariel Atkins Over 7.5 Points-165

MLB Jordan Beck Under 1.5 Total Bases-175

MLB Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Total Bases-165

0.05uView →

CLOSE +870CLV +3.61%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

WNBAWIN

Ariel Atkins

SPA vs SUN

ALT LINE

Ariel Atkins Over 7.5 Points

9 / 7.5 PTS✓

-165

0.12uView →

CLOSE -174CLV +1.99%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Jordan Beck

DOD vs ROC

ALT LINE

Jordan Beck Under 1.5 Total Bases

0 / 1.5 TB✓

-175

0.22uView →

CLOSE -175CLV +0.00%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

WNBALOSS

Chelsea Gray

DRE vs ACE

ALT LINE

Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists

2 / 5.5 AST✗

-170

0.21uView →

CLOSE -164CLV -1.34%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

WNBAWIN

Azura Stevens

LIB vs SKY

ALT LINE

Azura Stevens Over 5.5 Rebounds

7 / 5.5 REB✓

-178

0.16uView →

CLOSE -172CLV -1.24%Verify on ESPN →

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How we grade: ESPN publishes final scores for every NBA / NHL / MLB / NFL game we track. Our espn-graderservice polls ESPN's public summary API every 5 minutes, reads the final score and winner straight off header.competitions[].competitors[], then writes win / loss / push / void back into our picks table. Click any ESPN box score link above to confirm the score yourself. Disagreements should never happen; if you find one, tell us and we'll fix it on the spot.

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