Argentina vs Spain
Averaging 5.08 shots/90 at this WC; even a 35% haircut leaves ~3.3 expected shots, so 3+ is ~58% vs +125 (44.4% implied). The best pick on the board - a pure volume bet that doesn't need a goal. Chosen book: FanDuel.
+125 confirmed (OddsShark, FanDuel-sourced).
Independent of the scoreline; survives a low-scoring final.
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Correlated with his ATGS; a total bunker game hurts both.
