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UFC · 5:00 PM ET · UFC 329: MCGREGOR VS. HOLLOWAY 2 · BANTAMWEIGHT · T-MOBILE ARENA, LAS VEGAS
Farid Basharat vs John Garza
Farid Basharat 15-0 · John Garza 6-1
Who are these fighters?
Bantamweight3 ROUNDSPARAMOUNT+
Farid Basharat
“Ferocious”
15-0
VS
John Garza
“Mowgli”
6-1
28Age23
5' 8"Height5' 8"
71"Reach-
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
AfghanistanFromUnited States
Feb 2026Last FightJan 2026
Home division (135) for both.
No move. Garza steps in on roughly six days notice for an injured Ethyn Ewing, making his UFC debut.
How do they win?
Career winsGARZA: 67% FINISH RATE4 finishes in 6 wins, but Basharat has never been stopped
Basharat1 KO · 6 sub · 8 dec
Been finished 0x in 0 losses
Garza3 KO · 1 sub · 2 dec
Been finished 1x in 1 loss (1 KO · 0 sub)
KO/TKOSUBMISSIONDECISION
Who lands more?
CareerVOLUME: BASHARAT4.25 landed/min at 52%, absorbs just 2.89
BasharatGarza
4.3Sig. strikes / min-
52%Striking accuracy-
2.9Strikes absorbed / min-
3.3Takedowns / 15 min-
6%Takedown accuracy-
55%Takedown defense-
How are they arriving?
Last 5 fightsEDGE: BASHARAT5 straight UFC decision wins; Garza in on 6 days' notice
Farid Basharat5-0
W Matsumoto Dec (S) '26W Gutierrez Dec (U) '25W Hugo Dec (U) '24W Lapilus Dec (U) '24W Rodrigues Sub R1 '23
John Garza5-0
W Walker KO R2 '26W Reyes KO R1 '25W Rosas Dec (U) '25W Zuniga KO R2 '25W Gjelaj Dec (U) '24
◆ marks a title fight. R# is the round it ended in.
Where each can lose
Exploitable holesFarid Basharat
- Not a volume finisher (four straight decisions, one UFC stoppage)
- Can be dragged into close grinds (split over Matsumoto)
- Tends to coast rather than close
John Garza
- Unproven at UFC level (regional-only resume)
- Already KO'd once (Melara, R2)
- Six-day notice with no real camp
- No film against elite wrestling, exactly Basharat's strength
Web-researched weaknesses that shape the pick and the props. Styles make fights: the side whose holes matter least on the night usually wins.
The pick
✓ WONFarid Basharat ML-650
CONFIDENCE 3/5
This is chalk for a reason: Basharat is 15-0, has never been finished, and just went 6-0 in the UFC against a level of competition Garza has literally never seen. Garza is a 23-year-old Texas regional striker taking a UFC debut on about 6 days' notice against a smothering chain-wrestler who lands 4.25 sig strikes a minute at 52% and only eats 2.89. At -650 the ML itself is unplayable straight, so treat Basharat as a parlay anchor and get the real value in the props below.
Why this confidence
+2
Stylistic matchup edge
Enormous experience and grappling gap over a short-notice debutant.
+2
Short-notice
Opponent took it on roughly six days notice with no camp; all the prep edge is Basharat's.
-2
Betting-line value
-650 prices out any moneyline value; the clean expression is a method or decision prop.
+1
Recent form / activity
15-0 overall, 6-0 in the UFC.
+1
Chin / finish-resistance
Has never been finished.
Shop the best price
Line shoppingPickFarid Basharat ML
Consensus-600
Per-book line shopping was not available for this bout.Early-prelim consensus only; Garza is a short-notice replacement, so books vary widely. -600 offers no ML value.
Odds as of Sat, Jul 11, 2026 (fight day). They move; confirm at your book.Tapping a bet asks you to sign up once so we can track it, then opens the book’s UFC page (a pre-filled slip once an affiliate deal is live). 21+.
Props worth a look
3 leansFight Goes the Distance
Yes
Basharat has won five straight UFC fights by decision and has zero career losses of any kind, while Garza's power is his only path. Basharat's low absorption rate (2.89/min) and grinding style point this to the cards.
Method of Victory
Basharat by Decision
Eight of his 15 wins are decisions and his last finish was a R1 sub back in Sep 2023. Against a debutant striker with no proven grappling answers, the smother-for-15 script is the obvious one.
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
Over 2.5
Same logic at a friendlier price than distance-yes: Basharat controls rounds instead of chasing finishes, and nobody in 15 pro fights has come close to stopping him. Garza's KO upside is real but unproven above the Texas regional scene.
Career stats are career-to-date at publish time and sourced from ESPN and UFCStats. Odds move; check your book before tapping in. 21+, bet responsibly. This is analysis, not financial advice.