← UFC 329 FULL CARD
UFC · 5:00 PM ET · UFC 329: MCGREGOR VS. HOLLOWAY 2 · W FLYWEIGHT · T-MOBILE ARENA, LAS VEGAS
Wang Cong vs Tracy Cortez
Wang Cong 9-1 · Tracy Cortez 12-3
Who are these fighters?
W Flyweight3 ROUNDSPARAMOUNT+
Wang Cong
“The Joker”
9-1
VS
Tracy Cortez
12-3
34Age32
5' 6"Height5' 5"
65.5"Reach65.5"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
ChinaFromUSA
Feb 2026Last FightNov 2025
Home division (125) for both.
No move. Straight women's flyweight bout.
How do they win?
Career winsWANG: 44% FINISH RATECortez sits at 17%, 10 of 12 wins by decision
Cong2 KO · 2 sub · 5 dec
Been finished 1x in 1 loss (0 KO · 1 sub)
Cortez1 KO · 1 sub · 10 dec
Been finished 2x in 3 losses (0 KO · 2 sub)
KO/TKOSUBMISSIONDECISION
Who lands more?
CareerVOLUME: WANG6.22 vs 3.86 sig strikes/min at 57% accuracy
CongCortez
6.2Sig. strikes / min3.9
57%Striking accuracy49%
2.2Strikes absorbed / min3.0
0.8Takedowns / 15 min2.1
84%Takedown defense59%
How are they arriving?
Last 5 fightsEDGE: WANG3-fight win streak vs Cortez losing 2 of her last 3
Wang Cong4-1
W Moura Dec (U) '26W da Silva Dec (U) '25W Brasil Dec (U) '25L Fernandes Sub R2 '24W Leonardo KO R1 '24
Tracy Cortez3-2
L Blanchfield Sub R2 '25W Araujo Dec (U) '25L Namajunas Dec (U) '24W Jasudavicius Dec (U) '23W Gatto Dec (U) '22
◆ marks a title fight. R# is the round it ended in.
Where each can lose
Exploitable holesWang Cong
- Wins are grinding decisions, not dominance
- Submission-vulnerable (tapped by Fernandes off her back)
- Takedown defense and scrambling are open questions
- Defensively raw, gets hit at range
Tracy Cortez
- Zero UFC finishes and light offensive output
- Submission-vulnerable (subbed by Blanchfield; two of three losses are subs)
- Ring rust from a year-plus layoff
- Coasts to close decisions
Web-researched weaknesses that shape the pick and the props. Styles make fights: the side whose holes matter least on the night usually wins.
The pick
✓ WONWang Cong ML-115
CONFIDENCE 2/5
This is priced like a coin flip and the tape says it shouldn't be. Wang lands 6.22 sig strikes a minute at 57% while eating just 2.19, Cortez lands 3.86 at 49% and absorbs more than she gives. Cortez's whole path is the takedown at 2.15 per 15, but Wang stuffs 84% of attempts, and Cortez walks in off an 8-month layoff and the first stoppage loss of her career while Wang is riding a 3-fight win streak with a February tune-up. Near pick'em on a fighter with a clear stylistic edge is the kind of number you take.
Why this confidence
+1
Recent form / activity
Three-fight win streak and the more active fighter.
0
Stylistic matchup edge
Marginal reach and pace lean; this is a genuine pick'em.
0
Betting-line value
A true coin-flip at -115; no real market edge either way.
-1
Chin / finish-resistance
Submission-vulnerable off her back, and Cortez's grind can flip the fight.
Shop the best price
Line shoppingPickWang Cong ML
Consensus-112
Per-book line shopping was not available for this bout.Early-prelim consensus only. A genuine pick'em, so any book edge is marginal.
Odds as of Sat, Jul 11, 2026 (fight day). They move; confirm at your book.Tapping a bet asks you to sign up once so we can track it, then opens the book’s UFC page (a pre-filled slip once an affiliate deal is live). 21+.
Props worth a look
3 leansFight Goes the Distance
Yes
Ten of Cortez's 12 wins are decisions and Wang's last three wins are all unanimous decisions. Neither woman has ever been KO'd, so 15 minutes is the heavy base case.
Method of Victory
Wang Cong by Decision
Wang's win condition is volume, not violence: 5 of her 9 wins are decisions and she's gone to the cards in three straight. Outpointing a durable Cortez over 15 minutes is the cleanest script.
Method of Victory
Tracy Cortez by Submission (long-shot sprinkle)
If Cortez wins, it's on the mat, and Wang's only career loss is an R2 submission. Small stake only since Cortez attempts just 0.32 subs per 15 minutes.
Career stats are career-to-date at publish time and sourced from ESPN and UFCStats. Odds move; check your book before tapping in. 21+, bet responsibly. This is analysis, not financial advice.