3-Leg Parlay (3 legs) +303
MLB+WNBA · 3 legs
+303risk0.5u→win1.51u
WIN
Legs · 3
- +17.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #14 vs this prop (-15.1% vs league avg over 35 games)
- +17.5pt EV vs implied
- 80.0% over last 15 games
- +17.2pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #15 vs this prop (+0.5% vs league avg over 305 games)
Game context
Line movement
+303+322+0.19 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
17
Settled
17
Hit rate
37.5%
6-10-1
ROI
+33.53%
+3.37u
CLV avg
+1.26%
n=14
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (17 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (5)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+303
4.0300
Closing
+322
4.2200
Delta
-4.50%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#11331
UUID0287bd2e-3f5d-4b94-8305-c1c24440a20b
Surfaceparlay-3-leg
Posted2026-09-18 21:01 UTC
Graded2026-09-19 03:31 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash95c48060153fa7c24dd65cebfce4a108b478fde7d796e571b7e92ac7f3a10be5
Closing line+322 captured 2026-09-19 00:22 UTC
CLV delta-4.50%
Closing hashac4bab899f7a0edd7bebdb46ce7238ff9a92aca24d221c199cb43cee167094c2
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public9 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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