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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-09🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED a72564c7

NY Mets ML

Kansas City Royals @ NY Mets

-149risk1uwin0.67u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-149

Closing

-149

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=7 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Kansas City Royals3
New York Mets7
Winner: New York Mets · 2026-07-09
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-149
1.6711
Closing
-149
1.6711
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1338
UUID665fb463-830b-482b-a3f3-924da969c379
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-09 15:55 UTC
Graded2026-07-09 19:38 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823606:2026-07-09T17:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha72564c7af38607a7799175378ef613356284564a1c7a342161a226a02da3bc2
Closing line-149 captured 2026-07-09 17:20 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash976f30d5c9ae0a37f2debb173df48164413be5891fc2777f20cbbc3ae9b52f2d

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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