Milwaukee Brewers ML
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Arizona Diamondbacks2
Milwaukee Brewers13
Winner: Milwaukee Brewers · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-130
1.7692
Closing
-136
1.7353
Delta
+1.96%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#134
UUID80656ff0-4a8f-4b6f-bba3-83558b6c399e
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-29 23:11 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 23:41 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823796:2026-04-29T23:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8a666a9ea1ddfc34406c4bcec053aff4d6e758120e55029cc4f4f517af339773
Closing line-136 captured 2026-04-29 23:42 UTC
CLV delta+1.96%
Closing hash20fe2f4b32a1cdcb31753841f14e3dde75f74c00c29bf98901f229664341ca9e
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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