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UFCMoneyline.2026-07-11◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0

Alessandro Costa ML

Cody Durden vs Alessandro Costa

-245risk1u→win0.41u
WIN

Stake

1u

Odds

-245

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick2 factors · locked at post time
Edge

This is chalk that actually earns its number. Durden's whole path is the takedown (3.99 per 15) and Costa stuffs shots at 86% while having never been submitted in 21 pro fights, so the wrestling well is mostly capped. On the feet it gets worse for Durden: he absorbs 3.94 per minute, has been finished 7 times, and got flatlined by Ochoa in 2025, while Costa is riding back-to-back KO/TKO wins and finishes 13 of 16 career victories. A 35-year-old who is 2-6 in his last 8 against a 30-year-old power striker in form is a fade, not a live dog.

Context

Home division (125) for both.

Related Picks (5)

Audit trail

Pick ID#1356
UUIDd2e2f7ca-3aaa-7569-c9d1-3bc7ea4e0b2c
Surfaceanchor
Posted2026-07-11 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-07-12 03:51 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

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