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UFCMoneyline.2026-07-11◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0

Luke Riley ML

Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley

-265risk1uwin0.38u
WIN

Stake

1u

Odds

-265

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick2 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Riley is 13-0 with 9 knockouts and he gets hit way less, absorbing 3.32 sig strikes a minute to Kamaka's 5.67. Kamaka's clearest path is the wrestle-boxing route since Riley has landed zero takedowns and defends them at just 38%, so this is not free money at -265. But Kamaka has been TKO'd twice, gives up two inches of height at the same reach, and 14 of his 18 wins are decisions, which means he has to survive 15 minutes of a knockout artist to grind this out. Riley is the right side, just at a chalky number against a live dog.

Context

Home division (145) for both.

Related Picks (5)

Audit trail

Pick ID#1361
UUID46104e7d-baf4-d2b1-8c93-663e69aa5446
Surfaceanchor
Posted2026-07-11 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-07-12 03:51 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

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