Benoît Saint Denis ML

The grappling math is ugly for Paddy: BSD lands 4.19 takedowns per 15 against a guy defending at 44%, and his own 72% TD defense mostly closes off Pimblett's mat game. Every one of BSD's 17 wins is a finish, and he's riding four straight stoppages including a 16-second KO of Dariush and a February TKO of Hooker. The fade case is real since BSD has been cracked twice by strikes and Pimblett has never been KO'd, which is why this stays a lean at -148 and not a hammer. Chalk, but earned chalk.

Home division (155) for both.