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UFCMoneyline.2026-07-11◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0

Benoît Saint Denis ML

Paddy Pimblett vs Benoît Saint Denis

-148risk1uwin0.68u
LOSS

Stake

1u

Odds

-148

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick2 factors · locked at post time
Edge

The grappling math is ugly for Paddy: BSD lands 4.19 takedowns per 15 against a guy defending at 44%, and his own 72% TD defense mostly closes off Pimblett's mat game. Every one of BSD's 17 wins is a finish, and he's riding four straight stoppages including a 16-second KO of Dariush and a February TKO of Hooker. The fade case is real since BSD has been cracked twice by strikes and Pimblett has never been KO'd, which is why this stays a lean at -148 and not a hammer. Chalk, but earned chalk.

Context

Home division (155) for both.

Related Picks (5)

Audit trail

Pick ID#1367
UUIDd86684d7-bb85-7040-a318-24a46a917b7d
Surfaceanchor
Posted2026-07-11 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-07-12 03:51 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

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