Los Angeles Lakers ML
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Houston Rockets99
Los Angeles Lakers93
Winner: Houston Rockets · 2026-04-29
Related Picks (13)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-155
1.6452
Delta
-4.48%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#143
UUID791cd151-4cbb-4247-9dc0-49c68aed4f9d
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-04-30 01:40 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 04:50 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-04-30T02:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe258ba86741f66c5e8dac115b3c1a20aa3aed0f656c6a11d304f6de6e55b4b1e
Closing line-155 captured 2026-04-30 02:10 UTC
CLV delta-4.48%
Closing hashe368a2c21167820b5c2551cb448e7c198675026b65a4633d0d14dfc3bb7f6786
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,244 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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