2-Leg Parlay (2 legs) +148
MLB · 2 legs
+148risk1u→win1.48u
WIN
Legs · 2
- +16.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #18 vs this prop (-2.9% vs league avg over 275 games)
- +24.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #8 vs this prop (+3.0% vs league avg over 305 games)
Game context
Line movement
+148+144-0.04 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
44.4%
4-5-7
ROI
+69.64%
+3.87u
CLV avg
+1.65%
n=12
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+148
2.4800
Closing
+144
2.4400
Delta
+1.64%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#2043
UUID1562ec1d-ffac-4dce-b1e2-abf4133559fa
Surfaceparlay-2-leg
Posted2026-08-25 21:04 UTC
Graded2026-08-26 03:34 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9162a9e31323d0f7b02cb175a934826d482f4112bb5f70cb89cd067b6c02fa05
Closing line+144 captured 2026-08-25 22:11 UTC
CLV delta+1.64%
Closing hash77382516f9907e49255749ea5581352b113f830655757004bc208b3df61f6968
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public14 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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