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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-04🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 24b43eea

NY Yankees ML

Minnesota Twins @ NY Yankees

-149risk1u→win0.67u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-149

Closing

-149

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=16 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Twins11
New York Yankees4
Winner: Minnesota Twins · 2026-07-04
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
—
ROI
—
CLV avg
—
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-149
1.6711
Closing
-149
1.6711
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1333
UUID1eb86ae5-8e33-4e3b-ba80-21dd63c253c8
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-04 16:20 UTC
Graded2026-07-04 21:07 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823526:2026-07-04T17:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash24b43eeaf818200bdef6855efb7b1637db080738fa89ad107b2a3b451d47bf70
Closing line-149 captured 2026-07-04 17:47 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash8eb463b1cc5f6f26542ef7e2563b6495069d4a7102e2f6673fbcbf1a276d8c3f

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.9% closed
    1,289 settled picks · 63.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public20 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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