San Diego Padres ML
Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox4
San Diego Padres0
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-05-02
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-184
1.5435
Closing
-192
1.5208
Delta
+1.49%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#248
UUID07c7b8c0-5a0c-4b93-b0df-08e1d76f62c5
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 00:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 03:12 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8f0519422180234e17ca090e11f728398bec9f8bb8d876d8144aff7ab3ad498c
Closing line-192 captured 2026-05-03 00:41 UTC
CLV delta+1.49%
Closing hashe5eb506cafcb27184afbd9a68648d1f041b589205e5bee54e4aed25eaab80061
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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