Colorado Avalanche ML
Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Wild6
Colorado Avalanche9
Winner: Colorado Avalanche · 2026-05-03
Related Picks (14)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-200
1.5000
Closing
-205
1.4878
Delta
+0.82%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#370
UUID995885b8-d075-4e3a-a7b1-d868818880c3
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-04 00:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-04 03:51 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-04T01:10:15.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha670e5718871b5408fa3c022854a7a12d91a55007d3a2d4bc943242ba64a8ec3
Closing line-205 captured 2026-05-04 01:41 UTC
CLV delta+0.82%
Closing hash591a4e8d2ebae4b6910838ed8e8bbd85f7d8e06c49efcdcfaa243f53eb40008c
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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