Colorado Avalanche ML
Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time (ESPN DraftKings)
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Related Picks (13)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public9 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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