Los Angeles Dodgers ML
Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Miami Marlins4
Los Angeles Dodgers5
Winner: Los Angeles Dodgers · 2026-04-27
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-320
1.3125
Closing
-293
1.3413
Delta
-2.15%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#49
UUIDe5eb47e1-2514-4c89-9751-7f967437aaf5
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-04-28 01:41 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 05:11 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashca813ae0daab4dcc40217f833f5ee0fa682db9958fd4ae20511bc1f9931873bb
Closing line-293 captured 2026-04-28 02:11 UTC
CLV delta-2.15%
Closing hash936673f217fc711aafc026052e46517acc31e99b2f4ebf0b98adaa59f09cb6ae
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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