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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-09LOCKED c75192f7

David Morrell ML

Zak Chelli @ David Morrell

-1800PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-1800

Closing

-2000

CLV

+0.53%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-1800
1.0556
Closing
-2000
1.0500
Delta
+0.53%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#603
UUIDf5483659-30bf-4831-9ca5-4d9682f1059a
Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING
Posted2026-05-09 19:05 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc75192f7636c3f96a300fb3eba13f324436796b855e45e0afb2e31887a5962ac
Closing line-2000 captured 2026-05-09 19:26 UTC
CLV delta+0.53%
Closing hashfeb69ac6617e29cc62dafb10cb6015915c3ebf90532577f3e3c45eff5897187e
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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