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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-09LOCKED 85743f11

Fabio Wardley ML

Daniel Dubois @ Fabio Wardley

-103PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-103

Closing

-115

CLV

+5.42%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betrivers)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: bb05e8)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-103
1.9709
Closing
-115
1.8696
Delta
+5.42%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#611
UUID2f2088d1-fe7a-4df0-8ea4-acafcb7ef933
Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING
Posted2026-05-09 21:10 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash85743f11608a693efd61efe1c63ac97dad661d5fc89ebe59af803fb7cdef414a
Closing line-115 captured 2026-05-09 22:00 UTC
CLV delta+5.42%
Closing hashbfbca85cf2fe66e5c1e4028849379ffed50ae65a249c2a3e08ed6f55be47d285
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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