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nhlMoneyline.2026-05-05◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 742f6006

Colorado Avalanche ML

Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche

-196risk1u→win0.51u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-196

Closing

-205

CLV

+1.51%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 8 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 267fc8)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Wild2
Colorado Avalanche5
Winner: Colorado Avalanche · 2026-05-05
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-196
1.5102
Closing
-205
1.4878
Delta
+1.51%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#477
UUID0297e442-4256-400a-9211-1c4b0bcf4ffa
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-05 23:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-06 02:47 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-06T00:10:08.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash742f6006f3bee39af9b4d032f8519a052d2ca4b424f3f3b9889118fd3b22fd81
Closing line-205 captured 2026-05-06 00:10 UTC
CLV delta+1.51%
Closing hash0376f1a7652a76e84998e49426d89af280e49f00633fec0b30092563f12e4b4a

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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