Los Angeles Dodgers ML
Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Miami Marlins2
Los Angeles Dodgers1
Winner: Miami Marlins · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-290
1.3448
Closing
-286
1.3497
Delta
-0.36%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#94
UUID012bb77c-0b81-45f5-b7ff-395d834f683e
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-04-29 01:41 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 04:53 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5f82476383fba05b2422527d104030e899b41cfc8548be8c65cffd641d937c5b
Closing line-286 captured 2026-04-29 02:12 UTC
CLV delta-0.36%
Closing hash5e6dc0137004b88d2965f6f49722b7c85bae4abe9c62efbb52fdc645964e30ad
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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