/ Daily Fact-Check

2026-09-01 (4-4)

Every pick we fired for games on this ET calendar day. Each card links straight to ESPN's box score so you can confirm the final score yourself. Settled by espn-grader within ~5 minutes of the game ending; no manual override.

Crowned · Pick of the DayMLB · ANNOUNCED 11:02 AM ET

Cleveland Guardians ML -175

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians

Why crowned: the single highest-conviction moneyline on today's board — the market prices Cleveland Guardians at a 36.4% implied win probability at -175, the best edge-to-price on the slate when it was crowned.

Tipoff: Tue, Sep 1, 6:41 PMWin prob: 36.4%Open the full slate →

Picks

8

Settled

8

0 pending

Wins

4

Losses

4

Hit %

50.0%

FREE

MLBLOSS

MLB

PARLAY

MLB High-Floor (10 legs) +1387

+1387

MLB TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits-207

MLB Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits-274

MLB Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Hits-225

MLB Andrew Vaughn Over 0.5 Hits-236

MLB Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits-240

MLB Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Hits-250

0.50uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Toronto Blue Jays ML

+168

2.0uView →

CLOSE -131CLV +51.98%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Tampa Bay Rays ML

-124

2.0uView →

CLOSE -136CLV +4.10%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Boston Red Sox ML

-117

2.0uView →

CLOSE -134CLV +6.21%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Milwaukee Brewers ML

+104

2.0uView →

CLOSE -162CLV +26.14%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Miguel Vargas

SOX vs AST

ALT LINE

Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits

2 / 0.5 H✓

-178

0.15uView →

CLOSE -178CLV +0.00%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

LA Angels ML

+150

2.0uView →

CLOSE +144CLV +2.46%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

St. Louis Cardinals ML

+153

2.0uView →

CLOSE +163CLV -3.80%Verify on ESPN →

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How we grade: ESPN publishes final scores for every NBA / NHL / MLB / NFL game we track. Our espn-graderservice polls ESPN's public summary API every 5 minutes, reads the final score and winner straight off header.competitions[].competitors[], then writes win / loss / push / void back into our picks table. Click any ESPN box score link above to confirm the score yourself. Disagreements should never happen; if you find one, tell us and we'll fix it on the spot.

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