/ Daily Fact-Check
2026-09-17 (4-2)
Every pick we fired for games on this ET calendar day. Each card links straight to ESPN's box score so you can confirm the final score yourself. Settled by espn-grader within ~5 minutes of the game ending; no manual override.
Crowned · Pick of the DayNFL · ANNOUNCED 11:02 AM ET
@
Buffalo Bills ML -238
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
Why crowned: the single highest-conviction moneyline on today's board — the market prices Buffalo Bills at a 70.4% implied win probability at -238, the best edge-to-price on the slate when it was crowned.
Tipoff: Thu, Sep 17, 8:15 PMWin prob: 70.4%Open the full slate →
Picks
6
Settled
6
0 pending
Wins
4
Losses
2
Hit %
66.7%
How we grade: ESPN publishes final scores for every NBA / NHL / MLB / NFL game we track. Our
espn-graderservice polls ESPN's public summary API every 5 minutes, reads the final score and winner straight off header.competitions[].competitors[], then writes win / loss / push / void back into our picks table. Click any ESPN box score link above to confirm the score yourself. Disagreements should never happen; if you find one, tell us and we'll fix it on the spot.