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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-09◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED c75192f7

David Morrell ML

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Zak Chelli @ David Morrell

-1800risk1u→win0.06uVOID

Stake

Odds

-1800

Closing

-2000

CLV

+0.53%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

⊞Game context

Context signals

🎯 **Why this favorite?** David Morrell priced at **94.7% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ DRAFTKINGS -1800 ➋ FANDUEL -2000 ➌ BETMGM -2500

Line movement

-1800-2000-0.01 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window

Picks

1

Settled

0

Hit rate

—

ROI

—

CLV avg

—

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

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Same model

VTom Wright ML@ -1552026-06-20 VKongthoranee Sor Sommai ML@ -1452026-06-26 VNiko Samsonidse ML@ -1302026-06-20 VJake Woodley ML@ -1702026-06-20 WCHI White Sox ML@ -1562026-07-12

CLV math

Posted

-1800

1.0556

Closing

-2000

1.0500

Delta

+0.53%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#603

UUIDf5483659-30bf-4831-9ca5-4d9682f1059a

Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING

Posted2026-05-09 19:05 UTC

Graded2026-05-11 14:30 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hashc75192f7636c3f96a300fb3eba13f324436796b855e45e0afb2e31887a5962ac

Closing line-2000 captured 2026-05-09 19:26 UTC

CLV delta+0.53%

Closing hashfeb69ac6617e29cc62dafb10cb6015915c3ebf90532577f3e3c45eff5897187e

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close64.1% closed
1,289 settled picks · 64.1% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public20 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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